Big tech endures Trump's erratic 2025 trade war

As Donald Trump's first year of unpredictable tariffs drew to a close in 2025, major technology firms largely acquiesced rather than resisted, opting for deals and donations amid rising costs and legal uncertainties. From Apple's golden gift to the US securing stakes in chipmakers, the industry navigated a chaotic landscape of threats and negotiations. With Supreme Court challenges looming, the sector braces for more disruptions in 2026.

The year began with Trump imposing 10-25 percent tariffs on imports from key partners like Canada, China, and Mexico in February, warning Americans of 'a little pain.' Industry groups quickly cautioned that consumer tech prices would rise. By April, tariffs expanded to all trading partners, based on disputed deficit calculations that even targeted uninhabited penguin-populated islands.

Apple faced early pressure when Trump threatened a 60 percent tariff on Chinese imports. The company pledged $500 billion in US investments, but Trump persisted, promising American-made iPhones—a notion analysts deemed 'impossible at worst and highly expensive at best.' In May, he singled out Apple with a potential 25 percent tariff on non-US manufactured iPhones, a novel move against a single firm. Tensions eased in August after Apple presented Trump with a gold statue engraved with a 'Made in USA' stamp and Tim Cook's signature, celebrating a fictional 'Apple American Manufacturing Program.' Trump then dropped the demands.

Attention shifted to semiconductors. In August, Trump demanded Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan's resignation, leading to a deal granting the US a 10 percent stake in the company. Intel's SEC filing highlighted risks like shareholder dilution and potential lawsuits. TSMC rebuffed a September push to relocate half its production to the US. October saw Nvidia and AMD agree to remit 15 percent of revenues from advanced chip sales to China, with Nvidia later upping it to 25 percent for its H200 chips—moves experts questioned for undermining national security goals.

The TikTok saga resolved in December when ByteDance agreed to a US majority stake and algorithm licensing, following months of resistance. Trump suggested the app could become '100 percent MAGA' under new owners.

Broader impacts included halted low-value imports from sites like Shein and Temu, disrupting USPS deliveries. Manufacturing jobs declined, with 42,000 lost since April per government data. Lawsuits mounted, including from Costco, seeking up to $1 trillion in refunds if the Supreme Court curtails Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Justices appeared skeptical during arguments, though Justice Amy Coney Barrett noted reversal could be 'messy.'

Looking ahead, threats of semiconductor tariffs and 'tariff stacking' loom, potentially hiking costs dramatically. Elon Musk warned in December that such policies drive manufacturing abroad, but Trump remains committed. Tech firms, fearing contract losses, have donated to Trump's funds rather than confront him directly.

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US official and Taiwanese executive shaking hands over semiconductor tariff deal document, with flags, chips, and tariff graphs in background.
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美国官员称特朗普政府将寻求单独的半导体关税协议

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特朗普政府将与各国追求单独的半导体关税协议,一位美国官员表示,此前本周与台湾达成协议。该协议允许台湾企业在美建设芯片产能期间,无关税进口相当于规划产量2.5倍的材料。韩国贸易部长评估对本地芯片制造商的影响有限。

President Donald Trump has announced a 25% tariff on certain advanced AI chips from Nvidia and AMD, allowing their export to China while claiming a share of the sales revenue. The policy reverses a prior export ban on Nvidia's H200 chips but imposes the levy to fund US interests. Industry executives view it as a way to shield the arrangement from legal challenges.

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韩国政府召开紧急会议,评估美国总统唐纳德·特朗普宣布对某些人工智能半导体征收25%关税的影响,并承诺全力减轻对国内产业的影响。贸易部长吕汉九延长在华盛顿的逗留时间,以考察其后果。首尔也在为美国最高法院可能对特朗普互惠关税作出不利裁决做准备。

President Donald Trump has warned of 100% tariffs on Canada if it pursues trade deals with China, creating early tensions in the upcoming T-MEC review this year. The threat follows a limited agreement between Canada and China that cuts tariffs on food products and electric vehicles. Canadian officials maintain the deal aligns with T-MEC obligations.

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尽管关税可能缓解,供应链可能转向,但美国消费者和沃尔玛、亚马逊等巨头仍高度依赖中国商品。在国家零售联合会(NRF)展示会上,参展商表达了对今年更乐观的看法。

President Donald Trump's first year in office has brought regulatory relief to the cryptocurrency sector, yet major digital assets have declined in value. Despite appointments and new laws favoring crypto, broader economic factors like tariffs have driven down prices. The Trump family, however, has profited substantially from related ventures.

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As 2025 draws to a close, commentators on Slate’s What Next podcast say the U.S. economy under President Donald Trump shows signs of losing momentum, even as prices remain high. They argue that tariffs and policy uncertainty are adding to economic pressures and complicating the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions.

 

 

 

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