Big tech endures Trump's erratic 2025 trade war

As Donald Trump's first year of unpredictable tariffs drew to a close in 2025, major technology firms largely acquiesced rather than resisted, opting for deals and donations amid rising costs and legal uncertainties. From Apple's golden gift to the US securing stakes in chipmakers, the industry navigated a chaotic landscape of threats and negotiations. With Supreme Court challenges looming, the sector braces for more disruptions in 2026.

The year began with Trump imposing 10-25 percent tariffs on imports from key partners like Canada, China, and Mexico in February, warning Americans of 'a little pain.' Industry groups quickly cautioned that consumer tech prices would rise. By April, tariffs expanded to all trading partners, based on disputed deficit calculations that even targeted uninhabited penguin-populated islands.

Apple faced early pressure when Trump threatened a 60 percent tariff on Chinese imports. The company pledged $500 billion in US investments, but Trump persisted, promising American-made iPhones—a notion analysts deemed 'impossible at worst and highly expensive at best.' In May, he singled out Apple with a potential 25 percent tariff on non-US manufactured iPhones, a novel move against a single firm. Tensions eased in August after Apple presented Trump with a gold statue engraved with a 'Made in USA' stamp and Tim Cook's signature, celebrating a fictional 'Apple American Manufacturing Program.' Trump then dropped the demands.

Attention shifted to semiconductors. In August, Trump demanded Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan's resignation, leading to a deal granting the US a 10 percent stake in the company. Intel's SEC filing highlighted risks like shareholder dilution and potential lawsuits. TSMC rebuffed a September push to relocate half its production to the US. October saw Nvidia and AMD agree to remit 15 percent of revenues from advanced chip sales to China, with Nvidia later upping it to 25 percent for its H200 chips—moves experts questioned for undermining national security goals.

The TikTok saga resolved in December when ByteDance agreed to a US majority stake and algorithm licensing, following months of resistance. Trump suggested the app could become '100 percent MAGA' under new owners.

Broader impacts included halted low-value imports from sites like Shein and Temu, disrupting USPS deliveries. Manufacturing jobs declined, with 42,000 lost since April per government data. Lawsuits mounted, including from Costco, seeking up to $1 trillion in refunds if the Supreme Court curtails Trump's use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Justices appeared skeptical during arguments, though Justice Amy Coney Barrett noted reversal could be 'messy.'

Looking ahead, threats of semiconductor tariffs and 'tariff stacking' loom, potentially hiking costs dramatically. Elon Musk warned in December that such policies drive manufacturing abroad, but Trump remains committed. Tech firms, fearing contract losses, have donated to Trump's funds rather than confront him directly.

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US official and Taiwanese executive shaking hands over semiconductor tariff deal document, with flags, chips, and tariff graphs in background.
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US official says Trump administration will seek separate semiconductor tariff deals

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The Trump administration will pursue separate semiconductor tariff agreements with individual countries, a US official said, following a deal with Taiwan this week. The agreement allows Taiwanese firms building US chip capacity to import materials tariff-free up to 2.5 times planned output during construction. South Korea's trade minister assessed the impact on local chipmakers as limited.

Japan and other Asian trading partners are evaluating the fallout from U.S. President Donald Trump's new 15% global tariff, imposed under a different law hours after the Supreme Court invalidated his prior levies, as part of broader international reactions including Europe's coordinated response.

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Der Oberste Gerichtshof der USA hat am Freitag die meisten von Donald Trump unter dem International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) verhängten Zölle für ungültig erklärt, in einer 6:3-Entscheidung, die deren Einsatz für Handelzölle einschränkt. Stunden später unterzeichnete Trump einen Executive Order für einen 10%igen globalen Zoll gemäß Section 122 des Trade Act von 1974, der T-MEC-Produkte ausnimmt. Die Maßnahme tritt am 24. Februar in Kraft.

Präsident Donald Trump warnte den Obersten Gerichtshof der USA, dass ein Urteil gegen seine reziproken Zölle massives finanzielles Chaos auslösen würde, nach seinem Anruf mit der mexikanischen Präsidentin Claudia Sheinbaum. In einem Truth-Social-Post erklärte Trump, dass die Aufhebung der Zölle die Rückzahlung von Hunderten Milliarden Dollar und Auswirkungen auf Billionen an Investitionen erfordern würde. Das Gericht, skeptisch in einer November-Hörung, könnte die im April 2025 angekündigten Maßnahmen aufheben.

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Schwedische Ökonomen und Beamte haben die Eskalation globaler Zölle auf 15 % durch US-Präsident Donald Trump nach der Ungültigkeitserklärung seiner früheren Abgaben durch den Obersten Gerichtshof kritisiert und auf die Unernsthaftigkeit der Politik sowie wirtschaftliche Unsicherheit für Exporteure hingewiesen. Die Regierung plant, Unternehmen über eine Hotline zu unterstützen und neue Handelsabkommen voranzutreiben.

As 2026 begins, President Donald Trump's tariffs are anticipated to heighten uncertainty in global trade, leading to short-term volatility in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP. While initial market pressure may arise from inflation fears and tighter monetary policy, digital assets could emerge as alternative stores of value over the longer term. Institutional investors are closely watching these developments amid record participation levels.

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Im Jahr 2025 stieß Indien auf erhebliche Hürden in seinen Beziehungen zu den Vereinigten Staaten unter Präsident Trump, einschließlich hoher Zölle auf seine Waren und diplomatischer Rückschläge nach dem Terroranschlag in Pahalgam. Außenminister S. Jaishankar hatte zu Jahresbeginn Optimismus über übereinstimmende Interessen geäußert. Die Ereignisse entwickelten sich jedoch anders und hoben Kontraste in den diplomatischen Strategien mit Pakistan hervor.

 

 

 

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