モトリーフールのアナリストは、電気自動車販売の減少と高い株価収益率を挙げ、テスラ株が2026年末までに1兆ドルの評価を下回ると予測している。この予測は、CybercabロボタクシーやOptimusヒューマノイドロボットなどの将来製品への期待が高まる一方で、テスラの基幹事業が課題を抱える中で出されたものだ。現在、テスラの時価総額は1.5兆ドルで、米企業の中で7番目の規模となっている。
テスラの電気自動車販売は2年連続で減少しており、収益と利益に影響を及ぼしている。2024年、同社は179万台のEVを納車したが、前年比1%減だった。2025年の納車台数はさらに163万台に減少し、前年比9%減となり、自動車収益は10%減少し、1株当たり利益は1.08ドルに47%急落した。
AIによるレポート AIによって生成された画像
Wolfe Research analyst Emmanuel Rosner has issued an optimistic note on Tesla's robotaxi business, projecting annual revenue of $250 billion by 2035 under certain assumptions. While highlighting long-term potential, Rosner cautions about near-term costs and high valuation risks for investors. The report also touches on upside from Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot and Full Self-Driving licensing.
Tesla reported its first annual revenue decline in 2025, with vehicle deliveries falling 8.6% to 1.64 million units. The company announced a shift away from traditional cars toward artificial intelligence, robotics, and autonomous vehicles during its fourth-quarter earnings call. CEO Elon Musk emphasized ambitious goals for humanoid robots and robotaxis, even as Wall Street analysts remain divided on the strategy.
AIによるレポート
Analysts have slashed Tesla's vehicle delivery estimates for a third consecutive year, citing slower demand and rising investments in autonomous technologies. CEO Elon Musk's shift toward robotaxis and humanoid robots is raising cash flow concerns for the electric vehicle maker. Despite short-term challenges, focus remains on long-term prospects in self-driving and robotics.
Elon Musk has stated that Tesla could potentially achieve a $100 trillion valuation, but it would require enormous work and good luck. The comment follows investor suggestions about merging his businesses to hit that mark. Currently valued at $1.5 trillion, Tesla's growth hinges on advancements in robotaxis, humanoid robots, and energy storage.
AIによるレポート
Following its Q4 2025 earnings report announcing over $20 billion in 2026 capital spending amid sales declines, Tesla is specifying expansions in battery production and Cybercab rollout to affirm its EV commitment. This contrasts with legacy automakers abandoning similar ambitions after heavy losses.
Tesla shares fell 2.4% in premarket trading to $393.64 on March 3, 2026, amid rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The company plans to showcase its third-generation Optimus humanoid robot during the first quarter, with analysts expecting improvements in dexterity and production scalability. This reveal highlights Tesla's focus on robotics as a key growth area, despite significant risks for shareholders.